Cancún, Quintana Roo — A new poll from RUBRUM shows the ruling Morena party holding a commanding lead in the race for governor of Quintana Roo, with 46.3% of voter preference — nearly 30 points ahead of its closest competitor.
The National Action Party (PAN) trails with 16.8%, while the Citizens’ Movement (MC) and Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) each hover around 7%. The survey also found that 15.9% of voters remain undecided.
The results underscore Morena’s strong territorial and electoral position in the state, particularly as the opposition remains fragmented and lacks consolidated leadership.
Rafa Marín Leads Morena’s Internal Race
Within Morena, Rafael Marín Mollinedo leads the internal contest for the party’s gubernatorial nomination with 43.9% support, followed by Ana Patricia Peralta at 33.5% and Anahí González at 22.6%.
Analysts say Marín’s growing recognition and ties to the historic core of the Morena movement make him a strong contender to lead the party’s project in Quintana Roo.
Gino Segura Dominates Green Party Contest
In the Green Party (PVEM) primary, Senator Gino Segura holds a commanding 82.3% support, far ahead of Estefanía Mercado’s 17.7%. Segura is seen as one of the most influential figures in the ruling coalition.
Opposition Parties Lack Clear Frontrunners
The poll also highlights difficulties for opposition parties in fielding competitive candidates. Within MC, José Luis Pech leads with 54%, but a large share of respondents prefer another option. For the PRI, Filiberto Martínez registers 57.1%, though many voters do not see a strong PRI candidate for the state race.
The survey was conducted via automated telephone calls across Quintana Roo. The next gubernatorial election is scheduled for 2027.
