Trump’s Presidency: How Mexico Faces Imminent Threat

According to a study by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), Mexico could be the country most affected if Donald Trump were to win the upcoming election. The study examined the risks faced by countries with trade or security ties to the United States under a potential Trump presidency.

According to the "Trump Risk Index" developed by the EIU, Mexico faces a 100% risk in the trade sector. This suggests that if Trump were to win the presidency, the trade conditions between the United States and Mexico would likely change.

A review of the terms of the North American trade agreement, the USMCA, is scheduled for 2026. Marcelo Ebrard, the upcoming Secretary of the Economy, has stated that the terms of this tripartite agreement would only be reviewed, not renegotiated.

The EIU's index also indicates potential risks for Mexico in the security and migration sectors, with risks estimated at 56.3% and 44.4% respectively. These percentages represent the likelihood of Trump changing policies in ways that could negatively impact Mexico.

Other countries that could be affected by a Trump presidency include Costa Rica, Germany, the Dominican Republic, Panama, China, Japan, El Salvador, Vietnam, and Honduras. The findings serve as a warning of potential changes to international relations under a Trump administration.