Atlantic Cyclone Risk Jumps to 80%

QUINTANA ROO, Mexico — Quintana Roo Governor Mara Lezama announced on Monday that a permanent watch is being maintained on meteorological activity in the Atlantic Ocean due to the formation of a low-pressure area associated with a tropical wave west of the Lesser Antilles, which is showing a significant increase in its potential for cyclonic development.

According to the most recent report from the National Water Commission (Conagua) and the National Hurricane Center (NHC), this system has increased its probability of development to 50 percent within 48 hours and to 80 percent over the next seven days.

The tropical wave is located approximately 2,315 kilometers east-southeast of the Quintana Roo coast and is moving west at a speed of between 32 and 40 kilometers per hour.

In the 8:00 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center (NOAA), it was reported that the tropical wave—identified as #AL98—is currently moving over the eastern Caribbean, with a high probability of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next few days, as it decreases its speed and advances toward the central Caribbean.

Governor Mara Lezama reiterated that the Government of Quintana Roo, in coordination with Civil Protection authorities, maintains constant monitoring of the system and that, for the moment, it does not represent a direct risk for the state.

Furthermore, she urged the population to stay informed through official sources and to follow the recommendations of authorities during this active 2025 cyclone season, reminding everyone that prevention and early attention are essential for safeguarding the integrity of Quintana Roo families.

Information from NOAA.