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6 Oct 2026, Tue
Community Environment Lifestyle Quintana Roo

Mexico’s Weather Service Raises Atlantic Cyclone Odds to 70%

Map showing two low-pressure systems in the Atlantic Ocean monitored by Mexico's National Weather Service

Cancún, Quintana Roo — Mexico’s National Weather Service (SMN) has raised the probability of cyclonic development to 70% for a low-pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean, one of two systems it is monitoring.

The agency’s Tuesday report placed the system, located about 6,970 kilometers (4,330 miles) east of Quintana Roo’s coast, off the western coast of Africa. It now carries a 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours and over the next seven days, and is moving west-northwest.

The second low-pressure area, northeast of the Bahamas, was about 3,110 kilometers east-northeast of Quintana Roo. It retains a 40% probability of cyclone development in both time frames and is moving north-northeast at 24 to 32 km/h (15 to 20 mph).

The state’s Civil Protection Coordination (Coeproc) shared the SMN report to keep the public aware of both systems’ evolution.

“Stay informed only through the official channels of Conagua and Coeproc,” Governor Mara Lezama Espinosa said. “Remember to always apply the Triple A: Attentive, Alert, and Safe.”

For Tuesday, the SMN forecast hot weather for Quintana Roo, with cloudy skies and isolated showers expected in parts of the state.

By Ana Reyes

Ana Reyes covers environmental policy, conservation initiatives, infrastructure projects, and political developments across the Yucatán Peninsula for Riviera Maya News & Events. She reports on issues from sargassum management and reef conservation to the Maya Train, coastal development, and state and federal policy affecting Quintana Roo and the broader peninsula.Ana has covered environmental and political news since 2023, tracking key developments in Mexico's environmental regulations, coral reef protection, coastal zone management, and the intersection of tourism development with conservation efforts. Her reporting spans from Cancun's hotel zone to the Sian Ka'an Biosphere Reserve and the culturally significant regions of the Yucatán interior.Ana is fluent in English and Spanish, and draws from a wide range of sources including government environmental agencies, conservation organizations, academic researchers, and local community leaders to provide balanced, well-sourced coverage. She is particularly focused on how environmental policy decisions affect the daily lives of residents and the long-term sustainability of the region.For story tips: ana@rivieramayanews.mx