2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Expert Predictions for Quintana Roo

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As we approach the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, meteorologists are predicting slightly above-average activity compared to the extremely active season experienced in 2024. This is of particular concern for coastal residents, such as those in Quintana Roo.

Antonio Morales Ocaña, the official meteorologist for Solidaridad, anticipates an active storm period. He suggests that the "La Niña" phenomenon could return with greater strength to the Atlantic, potentially affecting hurricane activity in the region. The 2024 hurricane season was notably active, with 11 significant weather events, five of which were particularly powerful. This could be indicative of what to expect in 2025.

Colorado State University's climate research center has released a forecast suggesting an average season, with 13 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major ones. Similarly, the Tropical Storm Risk Consortium of University College London predicts a slightly below-average season, with 12 named storms, five hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.

In contrast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggests a season closer to the average, with 9-15 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes, and 2-4 that could reach category four. The NOAA also notes that the "El Niño-Southern Oscillation" phenomenon could impact hurricane activity in the Atlantic, with effects likely to be seen from June to November.

North Carolina State University's forecast suggests a slightly higher than average activity, with 13-16 named storms, 5-7 hurricanes, and 2-3 major hurricanes. This forecast underscores the need for residents in areas like Quintana Roo to prepare for the upcoming hurricane season.


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