Mexico’s 2030 Renewable Energy Goal: Key Details

Mexico — Mexico's transition to a more sustainable energy future requires quality, modern, efficient, and secure infrastructure, as well as projects with a technical vision and social and environmental awareness, stated Juan Francisco Cuevas Villagómez, Director of Engineering and Infrastructure Projects at the Comisión Federal de Electricidad (CFE). His remarks were made during the First National Meeting of Regional Residences, General Residences, and Pre-project Centers of the DIPI, an event aimed at strengthening internal integration and promoting the exchange of experiences and best practices among the company's technical areas.

CFE Acknowledges Profound Transformation of the Electrical Sector

In her address, Emilia Esther Calleja Alor, Director General of the CFE, highlighted that the meeting reflects the level of internal coordination needed to advance in the same direction.

“The DIPI has a strategic task: it concentrates the comprehensive development of all projects for all of CFE's production areas and sustains the improvement of the national electrical system,” she affirmed.

She added that the company operates in a scenario of transformation of the electrical sector, in which both the system and society demand a strengthened CFE, working as a single, solid team.

“The country is growing, the electrical infrastructure must grow with it, CFE has the commitment to do so with order, with a technical mission, and with social responsibility,” she emphasized.

Mexico Aims to Double its Renewable Capacity by 2030

An analysis by México, ¿Cómo Vamos?, prepared by energy specialist Rosanety Barrios and titled “General Overview of Renewable Energies in Mexico,” indicates that the Electricity Development Plan 2025-2030 (PLADESE) —published in the Official Gazette of the Federation on October 17, 2025— contemplates doubling the installed capacity of renewable energies.

This involves adding 28,004 MW of new capacity, not including storage, of which approximately 80% will come from clean or renewable energy sources. The estimated investment for power plants with state participation amounts to 23 billion 362 million dollars, in addition to further resources for transmission and distribution.

“The objective is for the private initiative (IP) to finance the majority of this plan,” explained Barrios.

International Commitments and Challenges of the Energy Model

The national goal aims to fulfill international commitments to reach 38% of clean electricity generation. Currently, between January and September 2025, the energy matrix depends 77% on fossil fuels and only 23% corresponds to clean sources.

Barrios recalled that electricity demand will grow 2.5% annually between 2024 and 2038, which implies that the success of the model will depend on several factors:

• Clarity in contracts with the private sector.
• The state's efficiency in managing calls for proposals.
• Optimal operation of the generation plants.
• The government's capacity to fulfill the planned electricity supply.

The expert also warned that “there are systemic risks related to judicial independence and the review of the USMCA, but also advantages due to the commercial relationship with the United States.”