70% Chance of Cyclone Forms in Atlantic

QUINTANA ROO, Mexico — On the morning of Tuesday, September 2, authorities in Quintana Roo updated meteorological information concerning a low-pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean, which has increased to a 70% probability of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next seven days.

Governor Mara Lezama reported that constant monitoring of the phenomenon is being maintained. The system formed from a tropical wave that moved off the coast of Africa. It is currently located 6,640 kilometers east of Quintana Roo and is moving west-northwest at a speed of 24 km/h.

“Residents of Cancun, the low-pressure system that emerged from the coast of Africa, associated with a tropical wave, has increased its probability of cyclonic development: 30% within 48 hours, 70% within 7 days. It is expected to evolve into a cyclonic system between September 8 and 10. We ask you to stay informed only through official channels,” the governor stated in a message directed to the public.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, environmental conditions are favorable for the system's gradual development. Currently, the tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms south of the Cabo Verde Islands, with a movement that will maintain its trajectory toward the central Atlantic in the coming days.

The NHC report issued on Tuesday at 08:00 hours (EDT) details that the probability of formation during the next 48 hours is low, at 30%, but rises to a high probability of 70% within seven days. If it consolidates, the phenomenon could initially evolve into a tropical storm by the end of the week or during the upcoming weekend.

State and federal authorities have urged citizens to stay informed through official media and to follow the instructions of Civil Protection. They also reminded the public that the 2025 hurricane season is at its most active point, making it essential to reinforce preventive measures and avoid spreading rumors.