Yucatán, Mexico — The State Coordination of Civil Protection has reported that a low-pressure system will continue to cause rainfall, ranging from light to occasionally very heavy, across Yucatán for the next several days.
System Details and Forecast
The low-pressure system, located to the southwest of the state, is forecast to emerge over the Bay of Campeche in the coming hours. Although the system maintains a low potential for cyclonic development, with a 10 percent probability over the next two to seven days, its broad circulation is favoring the influx of moisture into the Yucatán Peninsula.
This weather condition is expected to persist until October 9, as the system moves west or northwest, gradually moving away from the state.
The head of Procivy, Hernán Hernández Rodríguez, detailed that municipal coordinators have reported intermittent rains in different regions of the state, with no major impacts registered so far.
Furthermore, he explained that beginning the afternoon and evening of October 9, the influence of a trough induced by a frontal system—which is not forecast to enter the Peninsula—is expected, maintaining the possibility of afternoon showers. Light rains could also occur during the mornings.
Maximum temperatures will oscillate between 30 and 37 degrees Celsius, creating a hot environment over the weekend.
Update on Tropical Storm Jerry
Regarding the hurricane season, the agency specified that Tropical Storm “Jerry” is located more than 4,000 kilometers southeast of the state’s borders. Trajectory models consistently indicate it will continue moving out to sea over the Atlantic, posing no risk to the region.
“Jerry” is the tenth named tropical system and the sixth tropical storm of the 2025 season. According to the seasonal forecast, the formation of one to three more tropical storms is still expected, in addition to two or three hurricanes of categories 1 or 2, and one hurricane of category 3, 4, or 5.
Procivy reiterated its call for the population to stay informed and heed official instructions, as the interaction of tropical and winter systems during this season increases the potential for rainfall in the region.
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