Caribbean Alert: New Storm System Forms in Atlantic

A map showing current tropical weather disturbances and cyclone formation chances in the Atlantic Ocean, with two areas marked for potential development.$# CAPTION

MIAMI — The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported that a disturbance located approximately 850 kilometers east of the Leeward Islands and moving west at about 20 miles per hour is maintaining its course toward the Caribbean basin.

Although it is only producing disorganized rainfall, the agency forecasts that it could develop in the coming days.

The probability of development is low: 10 percent within 48 hours and 20 percent within seven days.

In parallel, AL90, situated south of Bermuda, has increased its organizational capacity, with a probability of near 100 percent both within 48 hours and within seven days. It could become a tropical storm this weekend.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Erin has been downgraded to a post-tropical cyclone and is moving toward the North Atlantic. While it does not directly threaten the Caribbean, it continues to generate dangerous currents and high surf along the U.S. East Coast.

According to the NHC, AL99, AL90, and Erin will continue to be closely monitored over the next several days.


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